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Belmont Cup Grade 1 race preview and analysis

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  • Belmont Cup Grade 1 race preview and analysis

    06/05/2021 20:00 12 Belmont DD 1 1/2m = 2400m Dirt Fast TC Belmont Cup G1
    Purse 132,000, 3yo Colts and Fillies Wt colts 122lbs, fillies 120lbs, entry fee 22,000. 100,000 Added Purse. For Registered DD Breds only Stakes Grade 1

    1. NOBLE LADY BMS (F) (KINSMAN BMS/RED RULER BMS) Life 9 6 1 1 730260 Horse Rating 99.50
    Nothing to complain about this horse who won the Eliminator and has won 6 of 9 races in her early career. Has a tremendous late kick and seems to be able to navigate potential trouble with relative ease. The only time she didn't make the money she came out of gate 3 and looks like she got caught wide and faded to 5th only 1 length off the lead. Major player in this race just off the Eliminator win, add to that her latest race over 1 3/8 miles, a win in the Grade 2 BC Shoemaker when she came off the pace for a relatively easy win.

    2. BEHOLD THE FUTURE(F) (DD-Instilled Regard/DD-Swiss Skydiver) Life 6 3 1 0 250250 Horse Rating 105.50
    This filly looks to me like she is going to run and gun here, playing catch me if you can as has shown plenty of early pace in the longer races she has run. Not sure she can hold off Beastmode Stables runner here but could be in the mix at the wire.

    3. SHERGAR(F) (DD-Uptowncharybrown/DD-Wayward Lass) Life 18 5 1 4 308960 Horse Rating 104.50
    Best races for this filly have come on or near the lead and if that is the case she might be in trouble here if the 2 tries for the lead as expected, not sure the horse will get position in this race and may get hung out to dry. If all goes well could grab a piece of the pie, a lot will depend on which instructions the connections give the jock.

    4. STEEL GLOBE(C) (DD-Iron Fist/DD-Global Trot) Life 20 5 5 4 570320 Horse Rating 107.50
    Distance should be no problem for this horse as it looks like he can run all day. Has the ability to stalk or close from way back so has to be considered in the mix here. Just missed winning the Grade 1 Ardagh Close when he came from 8th in the stretch to just miss the winner's circle by a very narrow neck. One of the major players in this race.

    5. AMAZON PRIME(F) (DD-Liam's Map/DD-Beatrix Potter) Life 8 4 1 0 173025 Horse Rating 101.50
    All of her best races have come at 1 1/4 miles, this distance might be just a little too long for her, only time will tell. Don't see her getting the win but may very well earn a minor award here.

    6. SIR BOBBY DAZZLER(C) (DD-Game Winner/DD-Unique Bella) Life 15 6 2 1 895400 Horse Rating 103.75
    Winner of 5 stakes races and almost 900,000 so cannot be ignored here. I think the distance might do him in as he has not shown the same dominance at this distance as he has between 1 mile and 1 3/8 mile. Only run this distance twice and been off the board in each, if this race were a little shorter would be a major contender but based on limited results have to look elsewhere.

    My selections: 1-4-2-3
    STAR OF THE DESERT STABLE
    LAS VEGAS, NEVADA, USA
    HANDICAPPING DUD
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