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BC Bowling Green G1 preview and analysis

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  • BC Bowling Green G1 preview and analysis

    07/30/2021 19:50 27 Belmont DD 1 1/4m = 2000m Dirt Fast BC Bowling Green G1
    Purse 140,000, 4yo and up Colts and Fillies Wt colts 124lbs, fillies 122lbs, entry fee 20,000. 50,000 Added Purse. For Registered DD Breds only Stakes Grade 1

    1. INDY QUEEN(F) (DD-Take Charge Indy/DD-Tempest Queen) Life 53 7 7 8 818870 Horse Rating 103.75 Speed Rating107.85
    M/L 7-1
    She has drawn gate 1 twice at this distance and each race resulted in a gate to wire win. I feel she is going to the front and playing catch me if you can and must be considered a major threat in this race.

    2. DEEP WATER)C) (War Ghost/Saturday Sun) Life 37 6 8 5 458595 Horse Rating 103.00 Speed Rating108.68 M/L5-1
    Looks like he is also going to try for the lead here tonight but I feel he might get trapped wide because I am not sure he is fsat enough to beat the 1 horse to the turn. Add to that the fatc he has had the lead in the last 2 races he has run (Summer Series) and has faded in each against presumably lesser talent, I must pass.

    3. COLD AS STEEL(G) (DD-Brethren/DD-Drumette) Life 6 3 0 2 245820 Horse Rating 103.25 Speed Rating112.17 M/L 5-1
    Lightly raced gelding whose only win at this distance was a gate to wire win in the BC Ascot Gold Cup G1. He will also try for the lead and I see a big log jam up front in this race, still feel the #1 will have the early advantage so I cannot recommend this horse tionight.

    4. MAGIC DADDY(H) (DD-Scat Daddy/DD-Stage Magic) Life 45 13 3 7 1395600 Horse Rating 100.25 Speed Rating108.33 M/L 4-1
    Stalking type who can run just as easily on the lead as coming from behind. I feel he is in a great position to grab the rail here and sit off the pace until the early speed horses make room for him in the stretch. A major contender tonight.

    5. SQUARE(G) (DD-Cross Traffic/DD-Ta Wee) Life 25 11 6 3 1257610 Horse Rating 99.25 Speed Rating106.96 M/L 3-1
    This horse was made for this distance and rarely runs a bad one. Equally comfortable on the lead or coming from behind, in my eyes he is the horse to beat tonight.

    6. DANWOULDNOTBOTHER(F) (DD-Treasure Beach (GB)/DD-Winning Colors) Life 53 24 8 5 2545600 Horse Rating 106.50
    Speed Rating Speed Rating112.19 M/L 2-1
    Super consistent filly who has had mixed results at this distance. She very rarely goes off form and has run a ton of races. She is the leading money earner in this race with purse earnings over 2.5 million and rates a huge chance against these tonight.

    7. TRACK MASTER(G) (DD-Hoist The Flag/DD-American Gal) Life 33 5 6 5 1511280 Horse Rating 104.25 Speed Rating108.06
    M/L 6-1
    This gelding's best races at this distance have been from inside post positions, tonight he comes out of gate 7 and doesn't have the speed to get the lead or position so I must assume he will not be on the board tonight.

    My selections: 5-6-1-4
    STAR OF THE DESERT STABLE
    LAS VEGAS, NEVADA, USA
    HANDICAPPING DUD
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