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BC Clement G1 HEAT 2 preview and analysis

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  • BC Clement G1 HEAT 2 preview and analysis

    08/01/2021 21:05 41 Calder DD 6f = 1200m Dirt Fast BC Clement G1 HEAT 2
    Purse 120,000, 3yo Colts and Fillies Wt colts 122lbs, fillies 120lbs, entry fee 20,000. 30,000 Added Purse. For Registered DD Breds only Stakes Grade 1

    1. LASTOFTHEBESTSEASON(G) (DD-Warrior's Reward/DD-Waya) Life 20 12 1 2 1137365 Horse Rating 101.25
    Speed Rating114.70 M/L 2-1
    This gelding is a stalking type who has shown he loves the distance. With over 1 million in career earnings he is definitely the horse to beat in this race. Has the ability to lead them all the way or rate just off the pace and pounce coming for home.

    2. ELIMINATA STIMULATA(G) (Dynamic Warrior/Dyna Ex) Life 13 1 2 1 115080 Horse Rating 103.50 Speed Rating104.62
    M/L 6-1
    It looks to me that this distance might be a little too far for him as his results over 6f are sub par. He has tried graded racing 3 times so far with little to show for it, and he will have to run the race of his life to beat these, must pass.

    3. GLOBAL HONOUR(F) (DD-Global Campaign/DD-Tiffany's Honour) Life 20 4 2 0 378200 Horse Rating 103.75
    Speed Rating109.30 M/L 5-1
    This filly would prefer longer than she gets tonight and her best chance woiuld be to duck into the rail behind the 1 and 2 horses. If she can do that she rates a chance, otherwise it is a no go for me.

    4. THE CON MAN(C) (DD-Whirlaway/DD-Con Te Partiro) Life 7 1 3 0 118980 Horse Rating 106.50 Speed Rating110.29 M/L 5-1
    His training times indicate he can run with these and the connections were well pleased with his last race where he was wide the whole way and just missed the winner's circle. His best chance is to get rail position early and coming out of gate 4 that is a good possibility. He figures in the mix tonight although I don't think he is strong enough to beat the 1 if the 1 gets the lead.

    5. SPIRITED DEFENSE(G) (And Justify For All/No Salt) Life 14 9 3 0 124320 Horse Rating 101.25 Speed Rating111.86 M/L 3-1
    This gelding has a ton of late speed but he is stepping way up in class tonight. All of his success has come in the claiming ranks and it might be too big of a stretch to think he can beat these, must take a wait and see attitude and look elsewhere for the winner.

    6. GOVERNMENT ROOSTER(G) (DD-Boisterous/DD-Honorable Miss) Life 19 6 4 6 281460 Horse Rating 103.50
    Speed Rating114.89 M/L 3-1
    Very quick gelding who will try and take them gate to wire tonight. Not sure if he can clear the field and therefor must think he might get caught wide the whole race. He has won almost 200000 in his career and very rarely runs a bad one at this distance. Contender, but perhaps only a minor award tonight.

    My selections: 1-4-6-3