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Eliminator Round 3 4yo C/F Heat #1 preview and analysis

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  • Eliminator Round 3 4yo C/F Heat #1 preview and analysis

    09/10/2021 21:25 29 Belmont DD 1m = 1600m Dirt Fast Eliminator Round 3 4yo C/F
    Purse 259,000, 4yo and up Colts and Fillies that have never won 4 races, Wt colts 124lbs, fillies 122lbs, entry fee 7,000. For Registered DD Breds only

    1. MUFFDIVER(C) (DD-Royal Lytham/DD-Swiss Skydiver) Life 7 1 1 3 56235 Foggydan Farms
    Horse Rating 107.25 Speed Rating 110.71 M/L 4-1
    He should have the front end of this race if he wants it, has plenty of speed, the question becomes can he get a big enough lead to hold off any late chargers in the race. If we go by his history he tends to fade when pressured and I am not sure he can get a big enough lead so I must pass.

    2. SWEET RAHY(H) (DD-Rahy/DD-Sweet Alliance) Life 8 0 0 2 18160 Sweet Stables
    Horse Rating 99.50 Speed Rating 107.88 M/L 7-1
    He has not shown us much in his career but he does draw inside and his best efforts have come from the inside. Looks to me like he is currently off form but I anticipate a better effort from him this evening.

    3. MISS SPICE(F) (DD-Air Strike/DD-Arradoul) Life 3 0 0 2 9980 Northland
    Horse Rating 104.75 Speed Rating 110.67 M/L 5-1
    No early pace on this horse at all but she does show some late speed. She has only raced 3 times in her career and her last 2 were closing efforts in this series. If there is any jamming up front she will be coming in the stretch and has to be considered in the mix tonight.

    4.HORSESFORCOURSES(H) (Four Wheel Drive/Zenith Legend) Life 10 1 4 2 116520 Winning Ways
    Horse Rating 102.75 Speed Rating 109.60 M/L 3-1
    Another in the race with very little early speed but has shown he closes hard in the stretch. I feel he is positioned well to get position on the rail and close out the fading early speed. A contender tonight.

    5. ROYAL YAWKEY(F) (DD-Royal Lytham/DD-Yawkey Way) Life 3 0 1 1 15230 Chrisman
    Horse Rating 103.25 Speed Rating 105.00 M/L 5-1
    Not much to go on with this one as he only has 3 career starts, one was a closing effort the other 2 were pedestrian efforts at best. His best chance tonight would be to try and stalk the leaders with the hopes that they fade and he can eventually wear them down, must pass.

    6. THUNDERING HOOVES(C) (DD-Thunder Gulch/DD-Con Te Partiro) Life 5 0 1 2 17960 Star Of The Desert
    Horse Rating 103.00 Speed Rating 107.00 M/L 6-1
    His workouts would indicate a big effort might be coming from him tonight and his last race was a gutsy 2nd place finish where he just grinded out the place position. I expect he will be stalking the leaders and try and wear them down coming for home, rates a chance tonight.

    7. FRONT MAN(C) (Ashton/Best Of Times) Life 2 1 1 0 29750 Donovan Stables
    Horse Rating 102.25 Speed Rating 106.00 M/L 2-1
    He has been installed as the morning line favorite with good reason, only 2 races under his belt but they both have been in this series and he has shown a tremendous late kick. With a relatively short field there isn't much chance he will get into trouble and I anticipate he should move on to the next round with another win under his belt.

    My selections 7-6-4-3
    STAR OF THE DESERT STABLE
    LAS VEGAS, NEVADA, USA
    HANDICAPPING DUD
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