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Eliminator Semi Final 3yo Heat #1 preview and analysis

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  • Eliminator Semi Final 3yo Heat #1 preview and analysis

    09/20/2021 20:00 33 Belmont DD 1m = 1600m Dirt Good Eliminator Semi Final 3yo
    Purse 60,000, 3yo Colts and Fillies that have never won 5 races, Wt colts 122lbs, fillies 120lbs, entry fee 10,000. 100,000 Added Purse. For Registered DD Breds only

    1. ON BENDED KNEES(F) (DD-Dr. Fager/DD-Magical) Life 4 1 0 2 49985 Pancho Racing Stables
    Horse Rating 101.75 Speed Rating 107.75 M/L 5-1
    Speedy filly who draws gate #1 again this evening. Her last 2 races were from gate #1 and she ran well each time. She has earned a paycheck in each of her 4 lifetime starts. I anticipate she will go right to the lead tonight and should have no trouble advancing to the finals.

    2. RUFF CURLIN(F) (DD-Curlin/DD-Ruffian) Life 4 0 1 0 15850 Bobby Dazzler
    Horse Rating 104.50 Speed Rating 107.75 M/L 6-1
    Stalking type filly who appears to be a one dimensional runner, she really hasn't shown much in this series, although she did have a nice 2nd place finish 2 races back. Looks like a plodder to me so I must look elsewhere for the winner.

    3. FOUND MY MAN(C) (DD-Man O' War/DD-Found (IRE)) Life 4 0 4 0 48250 Flip Farms
    Horse Rating 106.75 Speed Rating 109.50 M/L 4-1
    This colt has 4 2nd plce finishes in all 4 lifetime starts, all of which came in this series. Looks to me like he will be closing hard in the stretch and may very well be in a great position to grab the rail early. If he can do that he might be very difficult to beat tonight. Major player.

    4. WINDY DAY(G) (DD-Secretariat/DD-Mariah's Storm) Life 4 1 1 2 53305 Chrisman
    Horse Rating 100.00 Speed Rating 107.50 M/L 3-1
    He has never been off the board in this series and has shown the ability to stalk the early pace or come from behind. His best bet tonight woulod probably be to let the speed go to the front and not get caught in a speed duel. If he can find position on the rail he could very well catch the tiring speed coming for home.

    5. IF LUV SO NICE(F) (DD-Thunder Gulch/DD-Alma Mater) Life 4 4 0 0 106150 Pancho Racing Stables
    Horse Rating 102.00 Speed Rating 114.50 M/L 2-1
    This filly is a stalker who is perfect in her racing career 4 wins from 4 starts all in this series. She has been installed as the morning line favorite and why not. The only concern here, and it is a minor one, is if she is forwardly placed early will she be stuck out wide the whole race. My gut tells me it might not matter as she has by far the highest speed rating in the race. The horse to beat.

    6. HILLBILLY HUSTLER(C) (DD-Without Parole/DD-Panty Raid) Life 4 0 2 1 32795 Pancho Racing Stables
    Horse Rating 106.75 Speed Rating 108.25 M/L 5-1
    This colt is a closer who will need a good pace to chase this evening. He might get it with several of these horses vying for the lead early. One of 3 entries from Pancho Racing Stables he rates a chance at a minor award. I don't see him, or anyone else beating IF LUV SO NICE.

    My selections: 5-3-1-4
    STAR OF THE DESERT STABLE
    LAS VEGAS, NEVADA, USA
    HANDICAPPING DUD
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