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BC Light Speed G2 3 year old preview and analysis

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  • BC Light Speed G2 3 year old preview and analysis

    10/09/2021 19:35 10/08/2021 22:10 44 Belmont DD 4f = 800m Turf Firm BC Light Speed G2
    Purse 60,000, 3yo Colts and Fillies Wt colts 122lbs, fillies 120lbs, entry fee 12,000. 30,000 Added Purse. For Registered DD Breds only Stakes Grade 2

    1. STAR SHOPPING(F) (Stars Tap Out/Ramping Shop) Life 6 1 1 1 17400 Donovan Stables
    Horse Rating 102.00 Speed Rating 109.17 M/L 5-1
    This race is all about speed as there are no chances for horses to jam up as they stay in their own lane in this straight shot to the finish line. While she has shown speed in her races she does not appear to be as fast as others in the race so I must pass.

    2. IF ONLY YOU KNEW(C) (Mister Gold Boy/First Born) Life 22 10 3 4 362700 Pancho Racing Stables
    Horse Rating 104.75 Speed Rating 112.95 M/L 2-1
    This horse is a winning machine winning at almost a 50% clip in his career. He is the morning line favorite but I feel he would be better off in a longer race 5f seems to suit him better. He has won at this distance and his last race was very good posting a 43.05 final time while just getting up at the wire. He will need to break like he did last race as there are some very fast horses in this race. Looking elsewhere for the winner.

    3. BERATE ME(C) (DD-Pyro/DD-Daddy's Little Girl) Life 11 5 1 0 172850 Foggydan Farms
    Horse Rating 107.00 Speed Rating 111.27 M/L 3-1
    He is a sprint specialist who should be forwardly placed this evening. He has also won almost 50% of his career starts and fits nicely with this group. I do not see him getting the lead tonight and there probably will not be enough time for him to come from behind if he doesn't get the lead. A minor award is a distinct possibility.

    4. PERFECT TOY(C) (DD-Frankel/DD-Alma Mater) Life 5 4 0 0 309200 Donovan Stables
    Horse Rating 110.75 Speed Rating 117.00 M/L 4-1
    This horse is probably the quickest out of the gate of the field. He routinely posts a 21.25 first 2f and is very consistent with his finishing times all very close to track record times. He has banked the most purse money in the field and done so in only 5 career starts. In my mind he is the horse to beat this evening.

    5.TIP THE WAITER(C) (Tiz The Biz/Gold Smoke N Pearls) Life 7 1 1 4 70240 Goof Troop
    Horse Rating 102.00 Speed Rating 108.86 M/L 5-1
    If this race were run tonight at as slower pace he m ight have a chance at the money, but I anticipate this will be a very heated and fast start which will leave him on the outside looking in. His last race was very telling in that with a very fast 21.25 first 2f he faded to 5th. While I think he is talented he may very well be over his head with this group, must pass.

    My selections: 4-2-3-1





    STAR OF THE DESERT STABLE
    LAS VEGAS, NEVADA, USA
    HANDICAPPING DUD
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