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Puerto Rico Series - Horse Rated 98 Below Race 33 preview and analysis

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  • Puerto Rico Series - Horse Rated 98 Below Race 33 preview and analysis

    10/24/2021 23:40 33 Gulfstream DD 1m = 1600m Turf Firm Puerto Rico Series - Horse Rated 98 Below
    Purse 40,500, 3yo and up colts , 3yo and up fillies Wt 3yo colts 122lbs, older colts 124lbs, 3yo fillies 120lbs, older fillies 122lbs, entry fee 5,000. Current race series purse 35,500

    1. WINTER MEADOW(F) (DD-El Prado/DD-November Sun (CA)) Life 3 0 0 1 6480 And More Racing Stable
    Horse Rating 96.00 Speed Rating 106.00 M/L 8-1
    She has not shown very much in her first 3 starts of her career, although she did show a little late speed in the 7f race where show ended up 3rd at the wire. She does not show any early speed at all which means she will have to close to get the win and I don't see that happening this evening.

    2. BIG SURPRISE(G) (DD-Mr Big (CA)/DD-Pinch Pie) Life 7 2 3 0 139700 Star Of The Desert
    Horse Rating 92.75 Speed Rating 105.57 M/L 2-1
    He is the reigning champ in this series winning last year's final in a gate to wire win at 1Mile. He looks like he is in prime form right now as he has a win and 2nd place finish in his 2 series starts. He appears to be the horse to beat tonight just based on his recent form.

    3. WHAT A DIFFERENCE(C) (DD-Tabasco Cat/DD-Guiding Strike (CA)) Life 2 1 0 1 26755 Pancho Racing Stables
    Horse Rating 97.50 Speed Rating 112.00 M/L 4-1
    He has been very consistent so far in his career two race a win and a second place finish. His last race was a wire to wire victory in this series at 1 1/8 miles. If he can duplicate that effort he should be right there at the wire, a major player tonight.

    4. LIPS(F) (DD-Dave's Friend/DD-Jessie Pepper) Life 2 1 0 0 9120 And More Racing Stable
    Horse Rating 96.50 Speed Rating 105.50 M/L 5-1
    She showed no interest in her first run in this series. Although she broke her maiden at 1 1/8 miles, the winning time and Speed and Pace ratings were not very good. To give you an example she won her maiden at 1:49.32 compared to BIG SURPRISE'S winning time of 1:48.33. She raced against BIG SURPRISE last race and finished up the track so I must pass tonight.

    5. WIN SOME(F) (DD-Kelso/DD-Winning Colors) Life 2 0 1 0 10125 Chrisman
    Horse Rating 97.00 Speed Rating 107.50 M/L 6-1
    One thing is certain, you will not see her contending for the lead early tonight. She should be closing hard in the stretch and merits consideration tonight. Her works at 1M are decent so she merits a good chance here tonight as long as she can find a clear path to run in down the stretch.

    6. PEPPER BEACH(F) (DD-Treasure Beach (GB)/DD-Peppers Pride) Life 2 0 1 0 10125 Sweet Stables
    Horse Rating 95.75 Speed Rating 106.50 M/L 7-1
    Her works at this distance are extremely good for this series and if she can run to those works she should be right there at the wire. Stalking type who will try and wear down the front runners coming for home, a player tonight if she can show those works on the track.

    7. MISS EMELIA(F) (DD-The Process/DD-Thundering Emilia) Life 9 1 2 1 44120 Star Of The Desert
    Horse Rating 98.00 Speed Rating 105.78 M/L 5-1
    Her race performances so far have not lived up to her workouts. On paper she looks like one of the best runners in the race but when she gets on the track she shows no real effort in the stretch. Things will have to go perfectly for her to make the money tonight, looking elsewhere.

    8. SHOELESS(C) (DD-Devils Breath/DD-Southern Classic) Life 2 0 0 0 3080 Bobby Dazzler
    Horse Rating 98.00 Speed Rating 108.00 M/L 9-1
    It looks to me like he prefers a shorter race and even in those races he backs up when pressured. He has good works at this distance but I don't see him out closing some of the others in the race so I must pass.

    9. DAZZLING REASON(F) (Bold Reason/Dazzling Macho Man) Life 26 3 7 3 179540 Chrisman
    Horse Rating 98.00 Speed Rating 108.23 M/L 3-1
    She looks like she is completely out of form right now. Her last decent effort came on 6/28. She has some very nice training times recently but I cannot overlook the fact she has not shown anything on the track in almost 4 months, pass.

    My selections: 2-3-6-5
    Last edited by Star Of The Desert; 10-24-2021, 01:42 PM.
    STAR OF THE DESERT STABLE
    LAS VEGAS, NEVADA, USA
    HANDICAPPING DUD
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