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Round 2 4yo C/F Race #22 Belmont preview and analysis

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  • Round 2 4yo C/F Race #22 Belmont preview and analysis

    01/07/2022 15:30 22 Belmont DD 1m = 1600m Dirt Mud Eliminator Round 2 4yo C/F
    Purse 52,500 (Plus up to 4200 for NY-breds), 4yo and up Colts and Fillies that have never won 3 races, Wt colts 124lbs, fillies 122lbs, entry fee 8,500

    1. SMOOTH DANCER (PA)(F) (DD-Native Dancer (KY)/DD-Smooth Quality (CA)) Life 9 0 2 3 32730
    TR: Star Of The Desert BR: Star Of The Desert
    Horse Rating 102.75 Speed Rating 109.78
    Stalking type who should be in a good position sitting on the rail. She got caught in a speed duel last time and held tough for 3rd. I think she has an easier time of it tonight and her works definitely fit with these. Must be considered a player tonight.

    2. PROUD QUEEN (NY)(F) (Proud Birdie (NY)/Seaside Queen (CA)) Life 22 1 5 3 93120
    TR: Chrisman BR: Chrisman
    Horse Rating 103.75 Speed Rating 109.59
    She wants a longer race than she gets tonight. Add to that the fact she has only won 1 race in 22 starts makes me leary to back her. She will be closing but I cannot recommend.

    3. FUN PHAROAH (CA)(F) (DD-American Pharoah (KY)/DD-Fun House (KY)) Life 16 1 3 3 163800
    TR: Bobby Dazzler BR: Bobby Dazzler
    Horse Rating 102.00 Speed Rating 108.75
    Another router who will not be seen early in this race. She will be closing in the stretch but the race may be over before she kicks it in gear, must pass.

    4. ON BOND (KY)(G) (DD-Boisterous (KY)/DD-Intuition (KY)) Life 2 0 0 2 6000
    TR: And More Racing Stable BR: Shiftys
    Horse Rating 99.25 Speed Rating 106.00
    Stalking type who will contest the early lead tonight. His workouts place him right in the thick of it tonight if he runs to his works. Not sure he is fast enough to grab a clear lead and that might cause a problem for him. Rates a chance at a minor award.

    5. DISCREET MISSY (PA)(F) (DD-Discreet Lover (KY)/DD-Demure (KY)) Life 1 0 0 0 1920
    TR: Chrisman BR: Chrisman
    Horse Rating 100.50 Speed Rating 107.00
    Only 1 race in her career and that was the first round of this season's Eliminator where she went to the front from gate #1 and faded in the stretch to 4th. Her works are just a little slower than others in this race but she should be on or near the lead early just not sure she has enough stamina to hold on till the wire.

    6. TREAT (FL)(G) (DD-Effinex (NY)/DD-Secret Lanvin (KY)) Life 2 2 0 0 45100
    TR: Nemesis BR: Bobby Dazzler
    Horse Rating 104.00 Speed Rating 115.00
    He is 2 for 2 lifetime and I expect he will be gunning for the lead tonight, if he claers the field he might be tough to catch but if not he might get caught out wide which will not help his chances. Must be considered a major player tonight.

    7. BERRIES GALORE (KY)(G) (Cran Rasberry (PA)/Wildberry (PA)) Life 9 1 1 2 47720
    TR: Sweet Stables BR: Sweet Stables
    Horse Rating 101.00 Speed Rating 110.22
    He was a gutsy winner last out in the first round of the Eliminator from gate #3. He draws out wide tonight and I am not sure he will have a running lane in the stretch so I must pass.

    My selections: 1-6-4-7
    STAR OF THE DESERT STABLE
    LAS VEGAS, NEVADA, USA
    HANDICAPPING DUD
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